PredictGeek

We pulled the five most-traded questions on the best prediction markets that actually settle within this week, researched them properly, and then made a prediction while including all our sources. Each prediction gets a Geek Score from 0 to 100 depending on our level of certainty. Here’s the board for this week. MLB: 2026 AL … Read more

Edition 07 of our prediction markets forecast went 3 of 5: Bitcoin, the White House, and the Bills paid, and two Sunday NFL picks lost by a combined 37 points. # Market Platform Our call Score Market price at publish Actual result Hit / Miss What moved it 1 BTC price on Friday at 5pm … Read more

Every Monday, we pull the five most-traded questions on Kalshi and Polymarket that actually settle within the week, research them properly, and then make a prediction while including all our sources. Each prediction gets a Geek Score from 0 to 100 depending on our level of certainty. Here’s the board for this week. BTC price … Read more

Five calls, five hits. Every prediction from this edition landed, including the one we flagged going in as the board’s thinnest. # Market Platform Our call Score Market price at publish Actual result Hit / Miss What moved it 1 US Open Men’s Singles Winner Kalshi NO 25 Yes 37c – No 64c Alexander Zverev … Read more

Every Monday, we pull the five most-traded questions on Kalshi and Polymarket that actually settle within the week, research them properly, and then make a prediction while including all our sources. Each prediction gets a Geek Score from 0 to 100 depending on our level of certainty. Here’s the board for this week. US Open … Read more

Three of five this week. Both misses were risks we named in print before the games, and the data were in. # Market Platform Our call Score Market price at publish Actual result Hit / Miss What moved it 1 August payrolls above 50K Kalshi NO 30 Yes 49c / No 52c Payrolls rose 162,000 … Read more

Every Monday, we pull the five most-traded questions on Kalshi and Polymarket that actually settle inside the week, research them properly, and then make a prediction while including all our sources. Each prediction gets a Geek Score from 0 to 100 depending on our level of certainty. Here’s the board for this week. Jobs numbers … Read more

Five calls, five hits. It’s the first clean sweep since we started, and the calibration note at the bottom explains why it’s worth less than it looks. The board # Market Platform Our call Score Market price at publish Actual result Hit / Miss What moved it 01 Bitcoin price on Friday at 5pm EDT? … Read more

Every Monday, we pull the five most-traded questions on Kalshi and Polymarket that actually settle inside the week, research them properly, and then make a prediction while including all our sources. Each prediction gets a Geek Score from 0 to 100 depending on our level of certainty. Here’s the board for this week. Bitcoin price … Read more

Two of five. Our worst week so far, and three of the five went against us. The board # Market Platform Our call Score Market price at publish Actual result Hit / Miss What moved it 01 Does Scottie Scheffler win the BMW Championship? Kalshi NO 20 23c yes Wyndham Clark won, Scheffler T12 Hit … Read more